For example, A&O&B’s “Roadmap 2013” country radio listener online perceptual certainly contains evidence that new media is arriving in our listeners’ dashboard at a rapid pace.
Almost one-third of
country listeners report connecting to the internet in their vehicle and among
those folks almost one in five spends more than two hours a day listening to
“internet radio” as they drive.
We have been
tracking HD Radio for many years in these studies and though the very small
percentage of folks who actually owns or knows someone who has it did increase
from 2.5% to 3% of country listeners sampled, even “awareness” of HD Radio was
down a fraction this year and, ironically, was exactly the same percentage who
claimed to have tried internet in their vehicle is aware of HD radio, just
about a third of the total (31.7%).
If you accept my educated
guess that these most likely are the same “high tech redneck early adopters,”
it’s quite probable that HD Radio today is on the radar with more or less the
same level as internet radio with those people in our audience who matter most
to acceptance of any new technological development.
As someone who was
already working in radio five decades ago, when The Beatles released “Please,
Please Me,” I want to remind the skeptics that one of radio’s pioneer companies,
Westinghouse Broadcasting which had started to develop FM in the 1940’s decided
that it wasn’t going to be successful and silenced most of theirs in the
1950’s.
My very first job in
Cleveland radio was in 1962, doing nights at an easy listening (WNOB-FM) and I
hosted a Broadway show tunes special each week. A year later, I was doing mornings for an all jazz
commercial FM, WCUY. I was a
musical snob back then and we thought FM was “our” place, as the great majority
of people listened to AM.
We flogged FM car
radio converters in an attempt to get people with only AM in their vehicles to
plug our little device into their cigarette lighter and tune to an AM frequency
on their radio in order to hear “FM.”
Small wonder that
the “big stations” - WHK, WIXY, KYW (yes, KYW, Cleveland. Look it up.), WJW and most other AM’s
cleaned our clock in ratings and revenues. They were the ones playing those first Beatles and Rolling Stones songs.
Jim Duncan’s
“American Radio” documented it at the time as the growth of FM took decades and
really didn’t begin its ascent until more than two decades after “Group W”
decided there was no future in it.
It took until 1978 for FM listening levels to overtake AM’s.
Chart Credit:
David Giovannoni: “AM Radio Listening: An Annotated Graphical and
Tabular Treatise of the Audience to Broadcast Stations on the AM Band; with Historical Perspectives and
Extrapolations for the Future.”
Takoma Park, MD: The
Station Resource Group, 1991.
Giovannoni’s model
for the 1990’s downtrend for AM radio failed, just as Westinghouse had with
FM’s potential, to foresee that very small uptick in AM share in 1989 on his
1991 chart was being driven by a talk show that had launched in Sacramento in
1984 and just went national from WABC-AM, New York, in 1988 and single-handedly
reversed that slide as his show and approach spawned a new format, rejuvenating
the AM band.
Programming drives
usage. And, the adoption curve
doesn’t always move at the speed of Facebook and Twitter. Just ask Bing.
Rather than pulling
the plug on HD Radio while it’s still in its infancy, let’s remember how long
it can take for emerging technologies to intersect with radio formats and
target audience desires to move from awareness to adoption to loyalty.
Making history
doesn’t just take courage and creative innovation.
It also takes time.
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